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Meu primo de 15 anos fez esse texto e queria que eu postasse no reddit da minha conta pra não expor ele. o que acham?

2023.03.14 00:24 th1ag0_br_ Meu primo de 15 anos fez esse texto e queria que eu postasse no reddit da minha conta pra não expor ele. o que acham?

Mods me avisem se eu estiver quebrando alguma regra do sub, que apago o post imediatamente
A falha do capitalismo no Brasil.
Introdução
O mundo capitalista vem sofrendo diariamente com suas contradições, que se ampliam cada vez mais a cada dia.
Toda semana, o mundo regride, a sociedade se divide, as diferenças sociais e a divisão política aumentam. Tudo isso é retrato de uma sociedade capitalista ultrapassada, e que danifica cada vez mais as relações familiares, morais e humanas, substituindo-a por apenas uma relação vigente, a relação monetária.
O capitalismo enfraquece a sociedade humana dos proletários para a busca de poder das elites e governadores.
Poder
A Sociedade humana sempre foi marcada pela busca e manutenção do poder. Desde os monarcas, imperadores, duques, ditadores, burocratas e presidentes, a sociedade humana foi controlada e oprimida por aqueles que controlam os recursos.
Esse processo, porém, gera contradições, que inevitavelmente se transformam em radicais mudanças, colapsos, e revoluções. O fim do feudalismo, O fim de Roma, A revolução Russa, As incontáveis revoluções chinesas, A queda de reis e impérios e o colapso da era do bronze são todos exemplos de quebras humanas por causa da busca e do controle do poder.
Este poder é inerente à história da humanidade, enquanto existir massa de manobra para exércitos e mão de obra semi-escrava para fábricas nós sofreremos coerção pelas elites acima da sociedade. Porém, com o advento da revolução industrial, este controle das classes dominantes foi expandido incontrolavelmente, capitalistas ganharam cada vez mais poder e governos agora tem milhões de proletários para influenciar. Todavia a população também está evoluindo, assim, as classes dominantes precisam de jeitos cada vez mais engenhosos para manterem seu poder. Mas nem isso durará para sempre.
O poder não necessariamente significa domínio político, mas sim, econômico e humano. Na sociedade o rico sempre enriqueceu, e o pobre sempre empobreceu, por mais que as elites nos façam acreditar que é possível escalar a vida e chegar a uma posição de poder, isso acontece com uma minoria irrisória e desprezível. Esta crença nos faz acreditar que a escravidão moderna do trabalho corporativo e industrial nos levará eventualmente a riqueza e ao poder, porém isso só nos leva a fadiga e a manutenção da sociedade neo-escravocrata.
Tudo feito pelas elites ditas nesse texto tem como o objetivo primário o aumento do poder das elites, esse texto tem como foco denunciar tais barbaridades.
O Proletário e O elitista
O proletário nada mais é que o trabalhador que sobrevive de renda, o microempreendedor que sobrevive do próprio trabalho e os militares de baixa patente que são muitas vezes forçados a servir o país para defender os seus opressores.
Todos estes são proletários, sem exceção, e sofrem opressão de grandes monopólios e do governo, seja microempreendedores com impostos abusivos que as grandes corporações não sofrem. Seja os trabalhadores que trabalham a vida para patrões que não se importam com eles, ou o militar, que tem a cabeça lavada para lutar até a morte contra seus semelhantes apenas para satisfazer os burgueses.
Os proletários não passam de massa de manobra para os mais ricos e mais privilegiados para conseguir ainda mais conforto às custas do trabalho do pobre e da classe média, enquanto lucram ainda mais a cada ano sem retribuir o correspondente a seu empregado.
Os Microempreendedores sofrem todo o dia com os cartéis e monopólios que o proíbem de crescer na vida e nunca alcançar o poder de um burguês, além de impostos abusivos de um estado capitalista que favorece os já ricos.
Os Professores sofrem diariamente com a falta de verba que é roubada por políticos elitistas para conseguirem mais poder.
Sofremos de médicos mal formados, pois toda a verba das faculdades é desviada para mão dos elitistas, falta equipamento nos hospitais pois não vale a pena para um político gastar com esses projetos.
Sofremos com um sistema tributário caótico, pois vale mais para as elites manter o pobre mais pobre do que investir na chance dele enriquecer.
Enquanto isso, contam mentiras às classes médias dizendo que sua posição social é mais elevada do que ela é, fazendo assim que não perceba que é como todos os outros, pobre e sem perspectiva de alcançar poder real.
Classe média essa, que não passa de um substrato do proletariado, que conseguiu uma vida mais confortável a troco de um trabalho mais especializado.
Classe média essa, que diminui e se enfraquece a cada ano, com seu poder de compra se esvaindo a cada mês, que sofre com a inflação e com os malefícios de um país quebrado.
Contam mentiras também ao micro fazendeiro. O fazem acreditar que participam do verdadeiro agronegócio, só que o agricultor não percebe, que o agronegócio é dominado por gigantes do setor e capitalistas elitistas, que nunca permitiriam um pequeno fazendeiro ter uma verdadeira fatia do mercado.
Manipulam esse fazendeiro, fazendo-o acreditar que sua chácara seria dividida numa possível reforma agrária, o fazem acreditar que ele faz parte de uma classe social que ele não pertence, a classe elitista.
A manipulação capitalista é tanta que, segundo o governo federal brasileiro, famílias de classe média são aquelas que ganham de R$ 291 a R $1.019, o que é menor que um salário mínimo. Isso já é um absurdo por si só, já que aliena a classe baixa e faz ela achar que está em uma posição mais bem remunerada do que realmente está
Diferença de Renda
Imagine um dono de uma grande fazenda de trigo, cada trabalhador faz a colheita de 10 toneladas de grãos ao mês. Ele faz parte da classe burguesa, pois há 1000 trabalhadores trabalhando sob sua tutela. Ele vende cada tonelada por 1600 reais, se seu empregado produz 10 toneladas de grão, o burguês fatura 16000 reais pagando apenas 1200 para seu funcionário e cerca de 6000 para o mantimento e expansão do negócio, o resto do dinheiro vai para o seu bolso, que é usado para comprar o apoio de políticos, sua vida de luxo pessoal, a evasão fiscal, e a manutenção da sociedade elitista.
Este é um grande exemplo que o proletário não ganha o verdadeiro potencial que ele trabalha, ao invés disso, ele ganha apenas uma parte mísera. Essa relação entre patrão e empregado é extremamente desigual, por conta do livre mercado e do constante desemprego, sempre vai haver mais trabalhadores do que vagas, fazendo assim com que o trabalhador seja o afetado dessa relação. Ele tendo que aceitar um emprego com pagamento menor que sua capacidade de produção, para não perder seu emprego para outra pessoa.
Segundo Keynes e sua teoria geral econômica, a demanda cria sua própria oferta, sendo assim, a diferença entre guardar dinheiro e investir sempre gerará um desemprego em torno de 5%.
Isto gera um dos grandes mitos do capitalismo atual, o mito que você ganha o quanto trabalha e produz, apenas com a democracia no lugar de trabalho você ganharia o que merece e o que produziu. E infelizmente, as elites nunca permitiriam que tal sistema ganhasse espaço.
Às vezes esse patrono nem é nacional. Ele sendo multinacional, gera riqueza e a manda para o exterior.
Imperialismo
Os nossos recursos naturais são roubados e enviados para as elites internacionais, a floresta amazônica é explorada por grandes monopólios internacionais e tem seus recursos extraviados para os americanos e chineses.
Somos um dos maiores produtores agrícolas do mundo e ainda assim passamos fome, pois todos os nossos recursos são roubados e enviados para fora do país.
Somos uma colônia de exploração no cenário internacional, e enquanto ainda tivermos governos entreguistas ainda seremos assim.
Desde o império, o Brasil nunca conseguiu se industrializar de forma definitiva, sempre sendo um país exportador de matéria prima e importador de bens de consumo. Vendemos produtos por um preço irrisório apenas para comprar mais caro após o processo de transformação. Um grande exemplo disso é o petróleo, que é extraído no Brasil e enviado para refinarias internacionais, para após isso, ser recomprado por um preço muito mais alto.
Nós vendemos os nossos recursos naturais, após isso o dinheiro da venda é desviado para a mão de políticos e nada é entregue ao povo. Somos escravos internacionais, e enquanto nós não nacionalizarmos nossas indústrias essenciais nós não teremos um desenvolvimento econômico estável e igualitário para toda a população.
Infelizmente é extremamente complicado para tais processos acontecerem nos moldes dos governos atuais. Tais estados burgueses se beneficiam da venda e da exploração dos recursos no território nacional, e principalmente o governo federal brasileiro visa primariamente o lucro dos políticos, não o bem estar brasileiro em si.
O governo atual nunca abriria mão de sua forma fácil de dinheiro internacional para aliviar a população brasileira. várias vendas a ‘preço de banana’ danificam nossos recursos, a venda da refinaria Landulpho Alves é um dos exemplos de tais absurdos. Outro exemplo é a tentativa de venda da Petrobras que quase destruiu nossa já pouca autonomia petrolífera.
O Inimigo Comum
A sociedade da elite cria inimigos em comum para unir os proletários contra outros proletários, assim garantindo a manutenção do seu poder. Hoje, estes inimigos são os comunistas, socialistas, anarquistas, e pessoas que podem em geral colocar em risco o governo elitista.
O medo é implantado na população geral para que o povo não perceba que está sendo manipulado e usado. Isso infelizmente funciona extremamente bem, com vários movimentos proletários sendo destruídos por pura propaganda.
O medo é tão grotesco que para o Brasileiro médio, a palavra comunismo é mais perigosa que nazismo, a foice e o martelo é mais ameaçadora que a suástica, e que um comunista é pior que um criminoso. isso são mentiras espalhadas pelos poderosos e governadores para manter seus poderes.
A própria teoria Marxsista é utilizada como um xingamento político para aqueles com quem a direita discorda, criando assim um estigma social acerca dessas ideias.
Nós sofremos essa lavagem cerebral todo dia, tanto por portais de mídia que se chamam de imparciais. Por pura e explícita propaganda governamental. Por influenciadores digitais elitistas que te usam de massa de manobra para ganhos inigualáveis. Nos filmes de Hollywood os americanos imperialistas são representados como guardiões inabaláveis da moral, enquanto a população da periferia mundial são tratados como animais.
A criação de inimigos em comum é e foi usado no mundo todo como ampla ferramenta de controle, Os Americanos, por exemplo, utilizam da islamofobia e o medo inexistente do terrorismo para executar medidas de controle governamental cada vez mais drásticas.
Em guerras imperialistas a situação se agrava, o inimigo é retratado como um monstro, algo pior que um animal e conflitos imaginários entre proletários é inaugurado.
Ainda por cima disso, a sociedade elitista cria propaganda para limpar sua imagem, doando valores pífios a instituições de caridade e fabricando a imagem de que a única forma de ser alguém na vida é servindo ao leviatã empresarial.
Limpando sua imagem e dividindo o proletariado, cada vez mais a sociedade de elite se mantém no poder, lucrando sobre as nossas guerras e conflitos
Criação de conflitos imaginários
Os proletários internacionais têm mais em comum um com o outro do que os seus políticos. E isso é um grande problema para os elitistas, pois assim que percebem isso, a população não desejaria mais lutar pelo seu opressor e se uniria com o dito ‘Inimigo’ para restabelecer a justiça
As diferenças culturais não são tão gritantes quanto a diferença entre o opressor e o oprimido, por isso, xenofobia não passa de uma criação estatal e capitalista para forçar os proletários a lutar por causas fúteis. como poder e recursos que só interessam aos mais ricos
Toda guerra é por poder, Todo governante de um governo elitista sonha com mais poder, e por vezes, seu território não é suficiente para sua influência. Fazendo assim necessária a expansão de sua influência. As conquistas da África no século XIX, a colonização da américa, e a divisão do antigo império Qing são alguns exemplos de conflitos causados pela sede de poder e recursos dos elitistas.
Com isso culmina na ilusão do patriotismo.
As elites criam uma falsa narrativa que o bem mais precioso do ser humano, a vida, é submissa às vontades de um grupo de altos burgueses e governantes. A maior estupidez de um humano é entregar sua vida a um burguês. para aumentar a enganação, elites criam símbolos sem significado prático para unir o povo a seu favor.
Toda a ilusão patriótica tem apenas um objetivo: unir o proletariado de uma região contra o proletariado de outra região, tudo isso para os interesses imperialistas da burguesia.
Criam músicas, hinos, bandeiras, banners, livros, filmes, entre outros, apenas com o objetivo de fazer o povo à sua vontade.
Destroem todo sentimento de companheirismo entre a classe trabalhadora e a transforma num sadio companheirismo pelo seu opressor.
Divisão social
Todo racismo, xenofobia, homofobia, transfobia e sexismo são criações burguesas para dividir a classe operária e evitar que ela se organize. Apenas com a classe operária percebendo que as diferenças entre si são menores que as diferenças entre o proletariado e os burgueses é que toda discriminação por genero, cor, e sexualidade acaba.
O hétero perceberá que o gay não infringe nenhum de seus direitos, e a homofobia acabará
O branco perceberá que o trabalhador negro é exatamente igual a si mesmo, e o racismo acabará.
O homem perceberá que a mulher é capaz de desempenhar as mesmas funções na sociedade, e o sexismo acabará
O racismo em si não passa de uma antiga criação burguesa para o inimigo comum, tal qual já foi tão repetido e falado que se tornou estrutural.
O racismo estrutural não é nada mais que o racismo enraizado na sociedade, um exemplo famoso disso é associar um negro com a bandidagem, por exemplo, ou um asiático com virilidade frágil.
As próprias divisões ditas políticas são um retrato de uma divisão artificial criada pelas elites para manter os proletários uns contra os outros. Hoje em dia, discussões políticas se transformaram em debates pessoais, idolatramos pessoas e não ideias, não existe mais uma teoria progressista, agora é centrada ao redor de um grupo de pessoas, o petismo. O mesmo com o conservadorismo, agora está centrado no entorno de uma pessoa e se transformou no bolsonarismo.
O político brasileiro fez o que muitos não conseguiram fazer, centraram toda a discussão política ao redor deles mesmos. É impossível hoje um debate político existir sem o debate sobre uma pessoa específica dentro do círculo político. Destruíram o debate de idéias e no lugar disso implantaram o ódio entre pessoas com o mesmo objetivo, melhorar o país.
Já estão sendo extremamente manipulados para o ódio que defendem com unhas e dentes até as ideias mais banais, politizaram e dividiram a sociedade num nível em que até em momentos que é necessária a união da sociedade, transformam em uma grande discussão política e pessoal.
Amizades são desfeitas e famílias são divididas meramente por idolatria a políticos. Guerras são travadas e pessoas são assassinadas puramente por birra.
Nós vivemos num período de polarização política financiadas pelas elites, nos dividem e nos destroem, devemos nos unir pelo menos uma vez.
O Falso Deus
Outra maneira de manipulação é a manipulação do sagrado para o poder.
Criam uma imagem maldosa de um deus vingativo e cruel, apenas com o intuito de forçar desinformados a seguirem religiões que se parecem com crenças modernas.
Milhões de pessoas seguem grandes líderes burgueses que só tem como único intuito ganhar capital e poder. Com a falsa promessa de um lugar no ‘paraíso’ e com a implementação do medo de um ‘inferno’, criam nas pessoas um grande sentimento de culpa, que só é aumentada pela falsificação do nome de Jesus.
Se jesus nascesse hoje ele seria um comunista, ele perdoou o bandido e não o matou, ele destruiu um mercado de comerciantes, e ainda disse que “É mais fácil um camelo passar por uma agulha que um rico entrar no céu”. Jesus era contra a acumulação de capital, acreditava num estado de bem estar social para a classe mais baixa e por cima de tudo, criticava a acumulação de recursos de seus apóstolos.
Hoje em dia, a maior imagem do diabo no Brasil tem nome: Edir Macedo. Ele rouba e fatura da classe mais baixa, já acumula tanto poder e capital que chega aos bilhões, sempre roubando muito e muito mais.
Todo grande pastor segue os passos do Edir, sempre manipulando e roubando.
Infelizmente hoje no Brasil, a classe do clero não paga impostos, por causa do lobby eles nunca vão pagar no sistema atual, e continuam recebendo milhões de propina do governo para a lavagem de dinheiro. A própria igreja já é um grande escândalo de lavagem de dinheiro por si só. Pequenas igrejas evangélicas são abertas no meio do mais absoluto nada com o único intuito de lavar dinheiro para grandes criminosos de colarinho branco. outra grande forma de lavagem de dinheiro moderna são as artes ‘Abstratas’.
Artes abstratas e a sonegação de imposto
Rico não paga e nunca pagou imposto, seja por via do lobby, seja por via da simples e clara sonegação. Esta é uma das grandes falhas do estado capitalista atual, é impossível, um imposto verdadeiramente progressivo, simplesmente porque o rico não vai pagá-lo.
Uma das formas mais simples e eficientes de sonegação fiscal é a chamada arte ‘moderna’, onde um artista que gasta 10 reais com tinta e 10 reais do seu tempo vende a obra por 50 reais a um burguês. esse burguês logo depois revende a obra por 1000 reais, mas na realidade, ele revendeu por 100, e os outros 900 são apenas uma engenhosidade fiscal para o comprador conseguir sonegar imposto.
Industriais essências e o Livre mercado
Há uma clara e tênue diferença entre as indústrias essenciais e não essenciais.
As indústrias essenciais são aquelas necessárias para a vida humana, sendo elas: alimentação, moradia, água e eletricidade (incluindo este seus subprodutos, como o petróleo). Sendo elas inegociáveis para sobrevivência do ser humano, essas indústrias devem ser estatizadas e controladas pelo proletário que as usa, democratizando-as.
É irrefutável a importância desse tipo de indústria para o ser humano, sendo assim, todos os membros da sociedade moderna tem o direito de receber seus benefícios, sendo um absurdo não recebê-los.
Essas indústrias terão seus recursos igualmente vendidos para toda a população trabalhadora, que apenas pagará uma pequena taxa pela quantidade de uso para a manutenção da indústria e do estado.
Outro tipo de indústrias essenciais são aquelas das indústrias de base, como a mineração e extrativismo petrolífero, que devem ser estatizadas e manejadas pelos trabalhadores que lá trabalham. Das quais, deverão ter seus recursos vendidos para as cooperativas de indústrias não essenciais.
Já as indústrias não essenciais são aquelas que não são necessárias para a sobrevivência do ser humano, sendo assim possível um ser humano não receber tais recursos.
Carros, comida de luxo, bicicletas, televisões, computadores, entre outros, são alguns exemplos de objetos não essenciais. Tais coisas podem e devem ser reguladas pelo eficiente livre mercado, que regulará preços e demanda sem a necessidade da contratação de burocratas para o manejo da indústria.
Porém, para evitarmos controle excessivo de renda e o monopólio dos recursos, as indústrias devem sempre ser controladas pelos trabalhadores do próprio local, formando assim uma cooperativa.
Na sociedade ideal, cooperativas funcionam como empresas modernas, só que diferentemente de um chefe e um grupo de acionistas multimilionários controlando todo o lucro, ele seria dividido entre os trabalhadores das fábricas. As cooperativas mal manejadas pelos trabalhadores sofrem com falência financeira. Isto cria um completo incentivo para cooperativas bem manejadas, além de facilitar o dinamismo da economia.
As cooperativas não teriam poder político, e isso seria aplicado por um órgão regulador do governo, órgão esse que é monitorado pelo povo.
Cooperativas não pagariam impostos, tais quais o resto da população, os únicos impostos vigentes seriam uma taxa base pelo uso da terra, proposta por Henry George, e um imposto por produto importado, imposto esse que será abolido uma vez que o mundo se unifique.
Imposto sobre utilização da terra
A terra é algo público, não criada por ninguém, e não descoberta por ninguém, sendo assim, ela deverá pertencer a população em geral. Caso tal cidadão queira reclamar um terreno para si e chamá-lo de casa ou se juntar com outros cidadãos e criar uma cooperativa, este deverá pagar uma taxa de compra para o morador atual ou para o governo, e pagar um imposto sobre tal terra com base na oferta e na demanda de certo local.
No caso que a demanda for muito alta em um pequeno espaço de terra, como no caso de uma cidade, tal morador irá pagar impostos progressivos muito altos, e será forçado a vender sua casa para uma cooperativa residencial que irá construir um prédio, ou arcar com os custos. Caso tal terreno seja em uma região de baixa demanda, como uma região rural, tal proprietário não pagará valores tão altos, facilitando sua moradia.
Isso criará cidades de alta densidade naturalmente, e evitará grandes mansões em centros residenciais. Além disso, a medida incentivaria o uso consciente das terras, pois o preço pago não seria por propriedade construída em cima da mesma, mas sim, apenas sobre a terra comprada.
submitted by th1ag0_br_ to BrasildoB [link] [comments]


2023.03.09 14:20 GreyDoctor Upscaling v/s Downscaling

I have three rainfall datasets (A, B and C), two of which (A, B) are at 0.25° resolution while the remaining one (C) at 0.125° resolution. I have been told to do a basic statistical comparison of these datasets after bringing them on the same scale.
So I have to regrid and interpolate the datasets but I'm not sure whether to increase the resolution of A and B or to reduce the resolution of one dataset (C). A colleague of mine told me it's better to upscale but I remain doubtful.
Please advise.
submitted by GreyDoctor to Hydrology [link] [comments]


2023.02.27 18:06 2k3B_Empires FL CT OH GA and TX these are my markets. Right now I’m mainly on agent outreach and working with other wholesalers

Right now I’m using podio, Redfin, Zillow, propstream, propwire, Homesnap, landglide or REgrid, and will be using rei reply for text blasting and will be replacing podio for the most part.. I’ve heard roor is solid as well however I’m not mass blasting so will be probably going with rei reply. Skip tracing, pending the property and situation, im either using truepeoplesearch and opencorporates to skip myself or 2 different sites for paid tracing.. Im also very active on discord for networking purposes.
Basically just an open discussion! Who’s doing what with their business or who needs help?
submitted by 2k3B_Empires to WholesaleRealestate [link] [comments]


2023.02.20 18:26 Zelbinian The Property Tax System is Broken—Regrid Works on Tools to Help Fix It

The Property Tax System is Broken—Regrid Works on Tools to Help Fix It submitted by Zelbinian to StrongTowns [link] [comments]


2023.01.24 16:59 iwantahairlesscat Sources for up to date state wide parcel layers?

I’m in search of a regularly updated state wide parcel layer for the state of South Carolina. Unfortunately the state doesn’t have a comprehensive parcel layer and I need to purchase one. I’ve explored Regrid, light box, and ReportAll. Are there any other options out there I might be missing? Thank you!
submitted by iwantahairlesscat to gis [link] [comments]


2023.01.23 15:54 pdelgado Finding Real-Estate leads on your own, for free!

Whether you use Propstream,Listsource, and/or any other commercial paid solutions, the reality is that these companies get the data from the same public data sources such as your local county appraisal district and/or local GIS parcel data. The advantage here is that you can get that data before those platforms do (In some instances weeks or months ahead!).
Below I'm going to cover where you can get this information for free! As a quick summary here's where you can find other relevant real-estate data if you're an investor and what does the data contain:
Back to the County Appraisal District Data:
This is where as I mentioned you'll find your "Absentee owners", all this really means is that the property site address is different from the Mailing address as an individual may own multiple properties and the only thing that will tie them together is the owner name along with the mailing address.So how can I get ahead of these data vendors and use my competitive advantage? I've put together a Google sheets with the top cities/counties in the U.S that include downloads to the appraisal district/Parcel data which can be accessed here
Again, depending on the county, these may be updated more frequently than others. Some counties/cities also have "Open Data" in which sale information may be posted on a daily basis.
I've shared similar posts with data from 311 service requests (code violations, vacancies). And have tons of free resources on past posts, so check them out!
Let me know if you have any questions, or share your favorite resources.
submitted by pdelgado to WholesaleRealestate [link] [comments]


2023.01.23 15:54 pdelgado Finding Real-Estate leads on your own, for free!

Whether you use Propstream,Listsource, and/or any other commercial paid solutions, the reality is that these companies get the data from the same public data sources such as your local county appraisal district and/or local GIS parcel data. The advantage here is that you can get that data before those platforms do (In some instances weeks or months ahead!).
Below I'm going to cover where you can get this information for free! As a quick summary here's where you can find other relevant real-estate data if you're an investor and what does the data contain:
Back to the County Appraisal District Data:
This is where as I mentioned you'll find your "Absentee owners", all this really means is that the property site address is different from the Mailing address as an individual may own multiple properties and the only thing that will tie them together is the owner name along with the mailing address.So how can I get ahead of these data vendors and use my competitive advantage? I've put together a Google sheets with the top cities/counties in the U.S that include downloads to the appraisal district/Parcel data which can be accessed here
Again, depending on the county, these may be updated more frequently than others. Some counties/cities also have "Open Data" in which sale information may be posted on a daily basis.
I've shared similar posts with data from 311 service requests (code violations, vacancies). And have tons of free resources on past posts, so check them out!
Let me know if you have any questions, or share your favorite resources.
submitted by pdelgado to WholesalingHouses [link] [comments]


2023.01.23 15:52 pdelgado Finding Real-Estate leads on your own, for free!

Whether you use Propstream,Listsource, and/or any other commercial paid solutions, the reality is that these companies get the data from the same public data sources such as your local county appraisal district and/or local GIS parcel data. The advantage here is that you can get that data before those platforms do (In some instances weeks or months ahead!).
Below I'm going to cover where you can get this information for free! As a quick summary here's where you can find other relevant real-estate data if you're an investor and what does the data contain:
Back to the County Appraisal District Data:
This is where as I mentioned you'll find your "Absentee owners", all this really means is that the property site address is different from the Mailing address as an individual may own multiple properties and the only thing that will tie them together is the owner name along with the mailing address.So how can I get ahead of these data vendors and use my competitive advantage? I've put together a Google sheets with the top cities/counties in the U.S that include downloads to the appraisal district/Parcel data which can be accessed here
Again, depending on the county, these may be updated more frequently than others. Some counties/cities also have "Open Data" in which sale information may be posted on a daily basis.
I've shared similar posts with data from 311 service requests (code violations, vacancies). And have tons of free resources on past posts, so check them out!
Let me know if you have any questions, or share your favorite resources.
submitted by pdelgado to Wholesaling [link] [comments]


2023.01.22 22:51 brzantium Trying to figure out who owns my in-laws' family home (TX)

This is a bit of a story, but I'll try to make it as concise as possible.
My wife's family lives in a small West Texas town. Her grandparents built a house on a small plot of land - nothing fancy - back in 19whatever. Decades later, the grandfather passed away, and my mother-in-law, the youngest of their three children, continued living there to take care of her ailing mother (my wife's grandmother), who passed away about ten years later. My mother-in-law and wife (then a child) continued to live in the home. Evidently there was no will, so it was assumed that the home was owned equally by all three children. My MIL's brother told her he does not want the house and that she can have his third. This is just a verbal agreement. Meanwhile, my MIL offered to buy her sister's third but she refused to sell. This sister has since passed. So it was assumed that her third of the property was split among her four children.
My MIL moved out about a decade ago since the house is no longer habitable. Recently, we (me, wife, and MIL) have been discussing future plans for the property since it's been unoccupied for some time. Given the apparent diluted ownership, I decided to check public records to see who's listed as the owner. According to Regrid, my MIL's late aunt is listed as the property owner. We asked her about this, and we got a whole new story.
Evidently, my wife's grandmother bought the plot from her sister. This sister had no children of her own. She did have a favorite nephew in Mexico who went on to become a lawyer and eventually a judge (in Mexico). As such, she would send all her legal documents to him for safekeeping and relied on him to handle some of her legal affairs. Of those legal affairs was drafting and filing the paperwork to transfer ownership of this parcel of land. My MIL claims to have the letter from her aunt to her parents stating her intention to transfer ownership to them, but nothing more. According to my MIL, this nephew is no longer with us.
Since her parents' passing, my MIL has been paying property taxes on this lot. Nothing from either of her siblings. According to what we found on Regrid, while the aunt is listed as the owner, my MIL is listed as the contact for the property.
What we want to know is: where do we start the process of settling the ownership of this plot? I have a feeling this may land in probate court. How much would it help if my MIL could produce this letter, and show she's been the only one paying property taxes all these years?
TL;DR: My wife's grandparents' home is apparently owned by her great-aunt who's dead and had no children. Meanwhile, my MIL assumed she and her siblings inherited it, but there's apparently no documents showing any transfer of ownership, and she's been the only one paying the property taxes for it for several years now. What do we do?
submitted by brzantium to legaladvice [link] [comments]


2022.12.29 00:48 Alarming-Ad-8197 Recommended app for finding addresses called Regrid. Provides more detailed info than maps and shows exact property line. I use this at least once a day.

Recommended app for finding addresses called Regrid. Provides more detailed info than maps and shows exact property line. I use this at least once a day. submitted by Alarming-Ad-8197 to Sparkdriver [link] [comments]


2022.12.04 21:35 Nathaniel820 Does anyone know of a viewable map showing the ECL and/or mean high water lines for all Florida beaches? Those are the dividers for private land on beaches, so I want to be able to check it to make sure I’m not breaking the law when beachcombing

To expand, from what I’ve seen in the constitution and court rulings the mean high water line (MHWL) is the overall divider, but if an erosion control line (ECL) was later established then it takes priority over the MHWL.
I’ve looked a bit myself but I’ve only managed to find a few city-specific maps, nothing for the state as a whole. The closest I got was this, but it only shows you it in tiny chunks at a time in shitty PDFs views, not an actual map. It seems aimed at construction or legal projects rather than general public viewing. There’s also property-line apps (I use Regrid) but they don’t specify what line they’re following so it isn’t completely trustworthy.
If anyone knows of a good resource that lets you simply view the lines on a satellite view I would appreciate it.
submitted by Nathaniel820 to florida [link] [comments]


2022.11.10 18:38 memphisjohn Who was working on parcel / road boundary checking?

Not even sure it was this sub. Somebody was working on a way to determine how much road frontage a given parcel has. Which would be a very handy feature if automated and applied at scale.
Saw this today:
https://support.regrid.com/articles/rows/?mc_cid=efa277fcaf&mc_eid=8726bdebf6
( I am not affiliated at all with Regrid, just a customer )
submitted by memphisjohn to RealEstateTechnology [link] [comments]


2022.11.01 15:56 BeScofieldWriter The BIZARRE Story of How I Found the Kristal Reisinger Story...

I'm the reporter who wrote the 5-part series on Kristal Reisinger and first covered Love Has Won in Crestone. This is an edited excerpt from my new book Hunting Lucifer: One Reporter's Search for Cults and Demons.
I was sitting in a cafe when I overheard a woman mention a true-crime podcast. We both got chills as I discussed my work and she discussed the Up and Vanished podcast about Kristal. That's what alerted me to the story and then I traveled to Crestone and a bunch of STRANGE stuff happened...
THE DARK PORTAL
It was Wednesday morning, only 36 hours after I had arrived and things were already beyond bizarre. I couldn't make sense of it. This was the Sedona and Orcas Island cult stories all over again. Something had brought me from Maui to Crestone, and it seemed like the clues were beginning to appear.
Knowing that I’d be in Crestone at this time I pre-booked a session for Wednesday with my trusted astrologer and Akashic reader Olivia. I was hoping she’d be able to get some info about the location of Kristal’s body. I knew that police detectives employed psychics to help find missing persons or bodies so I figured I’d see what happened.
Olivia had been a godsend to me over the years. She had provided me with crucial information and insights that helped me navigate important decisions and stories. She was often able to help me understand why I had ended up in a location or decipher mysterious events. Sometimes she'd help determine where or when I should go somewhere. Olivia claimed to connect with "light beings" and said she gets visual and auditory downloads with her inner eye. She said she sees and hears messages internally.
I brought her up to speed on Kristal's story and some of the strange things that had happened. Olivia paused and tuned in for a minute. I closed my eyes and sat silently to connect, thinking it'd be better for both of us to tap in.
“I'm getting that there’s a dark portal over Crestone,” Olivia said.
“A dark portal?” I asked.
“Yes, and the portal needs to be closed.” She paused. “And that’s why you’re there.”
“What do you mean?"
“I’m getting that Kristal is trapped in the in-between world,” she said. “The same forces responsible for what happened to her are still siphoning energy from her because she hasn’t moved through.”
“I don't follow," I said confused.
“This is all about that," Olivia said. "What’s going on is about releasing and freeing her trapped spirit so that these energies can no longer feed off of it and work through this line.”
“What about this cult that I found?" I was curious because Brendan Pulver was in Love Has Won and he was close with those who were allegedly responsible for Kristal’s disappearance.
“I’m getting that the cult is a force field that is generating and propagating these energies,” she said. “They’re basically holding the portal open. There’s a lot of energies and entities coming through. It’s opened a gate for them and it’s a breeding ground for the spirits or demons to work through the people in the area.”
“And I’m here to close this gate?” I asked.
“Yes, and this is a larger part of a spiritual war,” Olivia said. “This portal is basically like a node where the earth’s body has been punctured and is opened so that these dark forces can have influence. It’s a pretty big node of influence.”
“Wild,” I replied.
“I’m glad you’re leaving soon,” Olivia told me.
“Why?” I asked. I was planning on staying in town just a week, compared to my usual one-month immersions for a cult investigation.
“One of the messages that came through when I was tuning in was that you have to be very clean about being in and being out. It’s all about timing.”
“I can do that,” I replied.
“You have to have a getaway plan," she said. "Be very pristine about what and who you are talking to and engaging with and revealing yourself to. The energies are very strong of what’s being opened in this portal and they’ll sniff you out.” She told me that I couldn’t infiltrate deep into the cult or Kristal’s story like I had done with Bentinho Massaro in Sedona. I needed to "peek in over the fence," look around and get out.
“I get it,” I said. Ever since arriving in Crestone, I felt strong ominous energy and had been on guard.
“Zoe is a bit dangerous too,” she said. “You can’t fully trust her because she’s still connected in with the dark forces.”
“Something was off,” I said. "I told you about how I mysteriously met Zoe but at the end of our meeting, I gave her a five-minute reiki session as we sat on the steps. Right as I stood up I was hit with a strange, eerie sensation that something sinister had become aware of me. It freaked me out. And the next morning Sara told me she was thrown out of her shower at 8:45 p.m. the night before which is exactly when I made contact with this ominous force.”
Olivia paused as if she was getting more information. “There’s a lot of spirit possession happening in Crestone,” she said. She said it's what happened to Zoe and that looking at photos of Kristal she could see the possession in her eyes.
“Maybe that’s what I saw in Zoe’s eyes right after I was hit with the sinister force,” I said. “Meth seems to be a gateway to evil.”
After my session with Olivia, I met up with Natalie, the intuitive who had told me about Kristal wanting to communicate with Zoe from beyond the grave. She was in her early 40s, a bit scattered, and had long blonde hair. I had recorded my session with Olivia so I played a part of it back for her as we sat on wooden barstools in Natalie's kitchen.
“There’s a mountain or collection of mountains that feels really powerful,” Olivia said on the recording.
“That’s Mount Blanca,” Natalie said.
“Where’s that?” I asked.
“South of here about an hour,” she said.
“The mountain can be like an ally,” Olivia said as the audio continued. “So you might want to take an offering if you know where that mountain is, or just do some prayer and do some communication with that mountain. Specifically around protection for yourself but also around the helping of the passing of Kristal’s spirit from that interdimensional place she’s being held.”
Natalie chimed in as the recording played, “The entire collection of Akashic Records, all the wisdom from throughout time, are said to be stored in the center of the mountain."
The recording continued and Olivia said, “And then the other thing I was getting is there’s something about,” she paused, “I know this is going to sound strange…ETs.”
“ETs?” I said on the recording. The surprise in my voice was evident.
“Have you seen Close Encounters of the Fifth Kind?” she asked.
"No," I replied.
“I would recommend it. There’s something about this that feels really connected to where you are and what’s happening with the dark portal that’s there.”
As the recording continued to play, Olivia explained the Close Encounters of the Fifth Kind movie. She said it was about a former doctor, Steven Greer, who now dedicates his life to communicating with ETs. He says they are our future ancestors and are evolved way beyond where we are. His work challenges the common narrative that ETs are dangerous or that we are on the brink of invasion.
“He’s kind of like the earth ambassador to extraterrestrial life,” she said as the recording played. “He would hold retreats and people would do this practice to call upon and direct ships to certain places so they could have communion and the ships would show up and they’d have this interdimensional experience.”
I stopped the recording and told Natalie that I'd like to do a tarot reading with her. “How does it work?” I asked.
“Just ask any question that you want and I’ll draw cards and tune in for insights.”
"I can ask about anything?"
"Yes,” she replied.
At first, I thought the session would be for me but when she said that I changed course.
"I can ask about Kristal?"
"Definitely,” she said.
“Where is Kristal’s body?” I asked.
She closed her eyes and tuned in. Twenty seconds later she started transmitting what was coming through.
What she said shocked me. I knew I’d have to keep it a secret as it could compromise me later investigating it. She didn’t give a specific location but told me what type of place Kristal was buried. As she went deeper my body became flooded with chills and I slipped into a trance-like state as energy rushed through me. Independently of Olivia, she also said Kristal was trapped in the in-between world.
---
Jeremy Brown had followed the Love Has Won cult online for a few years before he flew to Crestone where he lived in the mission house for six weeks. Like many others, he got sucked into the rabbit hole by watching their videos. Soon enough he believed Amy Carlson was Mother God. I spoke with him at length about his experience in the cult.
Jeremy told me that during a spiritual healing session over the phone he got zapped and lost control of his body. His voice even turned into a robot for a minute. “They’re able to transmit this dark energy and entity attachments during these sessions,” he said.
After this session the cult had him do an "ego death ceremony" which turned out to be much different than he expected. “It’s essentially signing over your ego to them.” It was much different than he originally thought. “Because she puts upfront that Father God’s lower self is Lucifer when you sign the ego death contract it’s like you consented to giving your ego up to Lucifer.”
Once Jeremy moved from New Orleans to live with the cult in their Crestone-based mission house he realized something wasn't right. “The moment I locked eyes with Mother God the first time I knew something was really wrong,” he said. “All I felt was pure fear.” He continued. “Every time I’d lock eyes with her I could literally just feel her taking energy from me. She’s just a pure energy vampire.”
He also echoed something Olivia had told me about the dark portal in Crestone. “There’s a tear in the firmament which makes an easier area for these dark energies and beings to come through," he said.
I also spoke to a woman whose husband Alex had joined the cult. She told me that she immediately saw darkness in his eyes after his phone healing sessions. Within weeks he had become brainwashed she said and he abandoned her and his kids and flew to Crestone to be with "God." Alex was seen on their video livestream praising the group the day after he arrived. “I’ve dropped everything in order to be here to honor Mother, the physical mother Jesus on earth,” he stated. The next day he was found naked and delusional stumbling through the desert by the police.
Alex told his wife that he spent the morning he disappeared “removing the darkness” from cult leader Jason Castillo aka Father God. Father God had told Alex that he could no longer handle the darkness on his own and that he needed to take it on for him. He then told Alex, “you have three days.” Disoriented and possibly drugged, Alex then went into the desert hallucinating and nearly died.
In Love Has Won’s origin story, an Archangel named Jehovah separated from all of creation thousands of years ago. “He wanted to be God without God,” they state. After separating from unity consciousness, he began taking over planets and created “dark species and the darker realms.” It was all love and light before this fallen angel Jehovah created separation. Father God, Jason Castillo, was contracted to go down into the dark into all of the “lower planets” and “lower realms” to master them. “And his lower aspect is Lucifer,” a member named Lauren said in a video I watched. “Lucifer is Father God,” she said. Meanwhile, Mother God aka Amy stayed in the light realm. And now for the first time in 19 billion years, the two have reunited on planet earth.
After my eerie encounter with the sinister energy during Zoe’s reiki session, everything changed. That evening I felt a very thick, ominous presence in my apartment. There’s something in here, I said to myself. I felt like at any moment I could be attacked. I invoked my angels, prayed, meditated, and did Qi Gong but nothing worked. The dark forces were strong. My mind started racing. Something sinister was in my presence.
I remembered Olivia telling me that morning I needed an escape plan. I started frantically packing up my stuff, throwing my belongings haphazardly in my suitcase. I grabbed my bags, dashed out the door, and hustled to my car quickly, tossing my stuff in the back seat. I knew the closest hotels were an hour north or south. I didn’t know where I was going, I just knew I had to get out quickly.
I texted Sara and fortunately, she told me I could come to stay at her trailer ten minutes outside of town in the valley. Her place was surrounded by wide-open desert and the closest neighbors were miles away. “I’m so glad to see you,” I said upon arriving and giving her a big hug. “The dark forces were really strong in my apartment. It was like once they discovered me they honed in.”
“Come in, come in,” she said as she grabbed my bags. Sara and I sat in her cramped but warm and cozy kitchen eating rice and beans as we discussed the strange events that had occurred up to then. By that point, the feeling of the dark forces had completely dissipated. It was as if they only reigned over a certain area near the center of town. Sara kindly offered me her bed as she created a makeshift one for herself on the kitchen floor of the trailer. Still wired with energy and anxious, I had another lackluster night of sleep. From that point on, I wouldn't spend another night at my Airbnb in Crestone.
...
The next day I left Salida and headed back to Crestone to look for Kristal's body in a large area of land off the creek in the valley.
The Google map view of the area looked identical to something Natalie had drawn in the psychic download. I trekked through tall grass and terrible mosquitos staying alert for any signs in my spirit body. I searched for an hour, sloshing through the creek at points, and even dug in one spot through the muddy ground with the collapsible trail shovel I had just bought. I didn't get any signs on this land, only a few moments of fear and paranoia. If someone spotted me, I'd be a sitting duck out there.
Frustrated, I hiked the twenty minutes back to my car which was parked on a dirt road. On the way back to town I checked out a road named Thunderbird that was nearby. Since Natalie had drawn an image of a Thunderbird I thought it could be worth checking out. I didn't get any hits though. And since Nate Maxwell’s name kept coming up I decided to cruise by his house. I slowly crept down his street and noticed a mid-sized moving truck in the driveway.
At the last second, I pulled off into Crestone park discouraged and exhausted. By that point, I had been in town for a week. I thought hard about how I had just blown a lot of money chasing down empty leads. I was spooked out of my Airbnb and forced to simultaneously pay for cabins and hotels. This was precious unemployment money that I desperately needed. None of this work investigating Kristal's case or Love Has Won was funded. I was distraught over it all. I asked Kristal if this was it. The psychic had told me Kristal had been communicating with me while there. I told Kristal I was leaving. What the hell am I even doing here? I asked myself as I sat in my car. I had come to Crestone to focus on my spiritual practice but was being dragged around. I was thinking about leaving right then.
I stepped out of my car to stretch and as I looked out in the park I noticed an old lady walking in the distance towards me with her dog. I immediately had a feeling about her. When she got near, her dog came up to me, probably because of the pork bar I was eating. I'm glad he did because that was the doorway to a conversation.
Mabel was a short, grey-haired 80-year-old woman who once ran a newspaper in Crestone for a few years. When I told her I was investigating Kristal's case she said she knew many of the suspects and their families. She was connected to everyone in town it seemed. I told her I was contemplating leaving town but that there was one area I hadn't been able to search for Kristal's body. I had driven up to the road a few days before but realized I needed four-wheel drive.
"That's my SUV right there," she said as she pointed to a white Toyota RAV4 in the parking lot. “It has four-wheel drive. Let's go."
"Really?" It was like heaven had sent an angel. She mysteriously appeared in the distance and lifted me off to the next place.
Mabel followed me up to the start of the road. I hopped out to get in her car but was surprised to see her standing there with her arms folded criss-cross, hands-on shoulders. "I can find stuff too," she said in a quiet raspy voice. "I have a method." She closed her eyes and got still for a few moments. “Is Kristal with us?” she asked out loud. Her body flung forward with a great force. Chills ran through me as I watched stunned. “That’s a yes,” she said. “When you are pushed forward it’s a yes, backward is a no.” She held out her hands. “And look, my hands, my hands are red, that’s another sign,” she said.
“My ability is to experience chills when I get a hit,” I said. “It’s like my spirit-body tells me what is true or not.” I told her I had just gotten chills when I saw her fly forward.
“OK,” she said. “Let’s go.”
I hopped in her SUV and we began slowly crawling up the road which was filled with large stones, holes, and small boulders. Forest lined the road on both sides. After a few minutes, we passed a sign and fenced-in area that read “Private Property.” She said Hanne and Maurice Strong, the wealthy couple who donated all the land to spiritual centers, owned the land. I got worried. I told Mabel I had found this spot because the psychic had told me she had seen a vision of a sandy beach near a river. I searched google maps and this area looked like a potential match but it was vague.
"I sent two photos of potential locations to my friend Sara here in town the other day. She got nauseous and told me it was a sign that one of them was correct. A psychic I'm working with had also told me that if I feel nauseous when searching then it's a clear sign."
"That's really interesting," she said.
"I checked out one of the potential spots this morning and found nothing. We are headed to the other one now."
"Ok," she replied.
Another few minutes up the road we came to a spot where Mabel didn't feel comfortable going further because of a large divot in the road.
"Pull off there," I said as I pointed to a flat area off the left side. I hopped out of her car and felt pulled across the road. I could have gone any direction but I made a b-line directly into the woods at the spot we were parked. I climbed over logs and branches, and around boulders. After just thirty seconds of hiking my body was struck with vibrations.
"I just got chills," I shouted back to Mabel. "Right here."
"I'm coming." She was still in the car with her dog. I kept walking deeper into the woods, thinking this was a clue to go further.
I yelled to her as my body was struck with deep vibrations. "I'm getting chills right here, deep chills right here." My entire body was vibrating with energy and it wouldn't stop. When Mabel arrived at the spot she was immediately hit as well.
"Wowoowow," she said as her voice quivered. "I have chills, I have chills."
"It's so intense," I said.
“Look at my hands. They’re red."
I looked down at her palms and they were beet red. "Red, red, red,” I said. "Were here. We've got to be close."
"Oh my god, this is almost like when I discovered that," Mabel said and then paused. A moment later she mumbled, "when twelve feet down.” She could barely speak.
"I think this might be it," I said. We both stood in awe of the chills pulsing through us. "I think Kristal is here."
Curious, I walked through the woods for another few minutes just to see what would happen. Mabel did the same but went in a different direction. As soon as I left that spot the chills stopped. "I'm not getting anything," I shouted to Mabel. She wasn't either. I trekked around for another five minutes and made my way back to the original spot. When I stepped foot in that exact area again my body lit up with vibrations.
"Woooow," she said upon returning. "It's so intense."
"It really is. Something is here. I can feel it."
I pulled out my small collapsible shovel and started digging. It was surprisingly easy to remove the sand. Whether it was because that area had been dug before or it was just soft I had no idea but I kept digging. It was slow going because of my tiny shovel and the approximately six by ten-foot area. At about one foot down I noticed something strange. It looked like pieces of fresh mulch. "Why would there be mulch a foot down in the ground?"
"To cover the scent," Mabel said.
"Yep."
I kept slowly digging. A few minutes later I heard footsteps. "What was that?" I said.
"I don't know."
I looked up and saw a shirtless man with scraggly hair and a big belly walking toward us.
"Who the fuck is that?"
"I don't know," she said.
From my angle, it looked like he was walking through the woods. A thousand thoughts were racing in my mind. Perhaps they had this spot under surveillance. The sign had said private property. Maybe Kristal was buried here and this guy was watching over it. I thought he'd come to kill us. As he approached I yelled out "Whatcha doing up here?” I got a mumbled response back. Fortunately, he walked past us down the road. I was spooked though. "Phew," I said. "That was scary."
I kept digging but after ten minutes, Mabel said she had to leave soon because her dog was thirsty and hot. Damn, I said to myself. I had finally found a spot where I thought Kristal's body was buried and we had to leave. "Ok," I said as I jammed my collapsible shovel one last time into the sand. "I'll have to come back."
"Oh look," she said as we walked to the car. "They've even got the spot marked." There were several pieces of firewood on the side of the road marking the spot. One of them was pointing diagonally towards where I was digging.
"I was gonna mark the spot but now we don't need to,” I replied. We piled in the car with her dog and started driving down the mountain.
----
Back at Judy's that evening, I collapsed in the recliner exhausted and drained. I texted Olivia and updated her with all the wild stuff that had unfolded. I also asked her about a strange dream I had the night before.
“I had a vivid dream last night that I was on a huge ET mothership, hovering over Crestone," I texted her. "It was really uncanny.”
"Let me tune in." She waited a minute and texted again. ”The first thing that comes in is that it wasn’t a dream,” Olivia texted. “You’ve called in help.”
Tingling sensations moved through my body. “Chills,” I texted back.
She was right, I had called in ETs while at Mount Blanca during my ritual.
“Something about an ancient pact,” Olivia texted.
I sent her the eerie audio recording of when Mabel and I found the spot in the woods that gave us chills.
“My hair is standing on end all over my body," she wrote upon listening. "Paranormal tears. I’m getting that it is an intersection point.”
“Maybe I needed to dig deeper?"
“I don't know if it's her. It’s a ley line point, like a hot wire,” Olivia wrote. “You could put a rod in right there and signal the ETs.”
“A hot wire?”
“Regardless of whether you find her or not, you are helping to regrid. Already something has shifted with that. This is about the earth’s nervous system.”
“As soon as we got to the spot in the woods I was hit with the full-body sensations," I texted. "And then Mabel walked over and was struck too. She couldn’t even speak and her hands turned deep red.”
“The chills keep coming, like electricity waves," Olivia wrote. "All my hair is up.”
"Me too," I texted. My body was vibrating intensely.
"I'm getting that there are two different ET tribes/nations that are reconnecting through this work. After a long period of separation, it's bringing them together."
"After the trance-induced healing ritual I did at Mount Blanca on Thursday I felt a distinct change in the energy in Crestone. The darkness has dissipated somewhat.”
“There is a lot of energy circling around my crown,” she texted. “I’ve been contacting the ETs.”
"Seriously?" I replied.
“This is about grid activation, to shift the center of gravity. It’s like pulling the rug out from under the dark energies,” she texted. I sent her a picture of the map of where the ley line point was that gave Mabel and I chills. “I’m seeing a ship beaming into those points to cause this shift,” she wrote.
"Are you getting that this is where Kristal is?" I asked.
“It does feel like something is buried nearby under the thick,” she texted. “Something is hidden. For some reason, I don’t know why but I’m not really connecting it to Kristal herself. I feel grief. Chills. Something is being released. There has been a stronghold here hiding in plain sight."
I texted her about some of the powerful people connected to Crestone.
"I think this is way bigger than it seems. It's like pulling a thread. There is a whole ancient thing connected."
"I don't know what to do at this point," I said.
"Take a rest. You will be guided but you need to sleep and get into a passive mental state. Soak your feet and put oil on your body. It will soothe your nerves."
"I can do that,” I said.
"You can't go any further until you recharge. You are being closely guided. You just have to lay down for long enough to get into a receptive state. The outcome may not be what you expect. You have to let go to get the next phase."
I followed Olivia's advice and took a hot shower, rubbed oil on my feet, and put my body into a deep state of receptivity.
The next morning Mary, the psychic, texted me that she had a dream about me the night before. "You are standing with a lady in the mountains and your "lights" shoot up into the sky, like saying 'we are located here.' It felt like you were connecting to something to put pure loving healing energy into that area. That's why you are in Crestone."
Get the book on Amazon -> https://www.amazon.com/Hunting-Lucifer-Reporters-Search-Demons/dp/B0BHGB5B6S/
submitted by BeScofieldWriter to upandvanished [link] [comments]


2022.10.30 18:48 chaos_battery Anyone have experience scraping regrid?

Regrid.com has an interactive map of every parcel in the U.S. and I want to scrape the owner information from a specific parcel ID that I would search for.
So for example I would search by parcel ID of 205508 and then the resulting page is here: https://app.regrid.com/us/tx/randall/amarillo/103585
I want to get the owner name, previous sale value, etc. based on that parcel ID.
A few problems I'm seeing are the API they are calling behind the scenes is not obvious to me and I also need a way to narrow down the search results to a single parcel ID since this parcel ID brings back multiple search results in the search box at the top.
submitted by chaos_battery to webscraping [link] [comments]


2022.10.28 20:56 BeScofieldWriter The STRANGE story of how I found Love Has Won - ETs? A dark portal?

I'm the reporter who first covered Love Has Won. This is an edited excerpt from my new book Hunting Lucifer: One Reporter's Search for Cults and Demons. It has the full backstory of how I discovered Love Has Won and Kristal Reisinger's story...
THE DARK PORTAL
It was Wednesday morning, only 36 hours after I had arrived and things were already beyond bizarre. I couldn't make sense of it. This was the Sedona and Orcas Island cult stories all over again. Something had brought me from Maui to Crestone, and it seemed like the clues were beginning to appear.
Knowing that I’d be in Crestone at this time I pre-booked a session for Wednesday with my trusted astrologer and Akashic reader Olivia. I was hoping she’d be able to get some info about the location of Kristal’s body. I knew that police detectives employed psychics to help find missing persons or bodies so I figured I’d see what happened.
Olivia had been a godsend to me over the years. She had provided me with crucial information and insights that helped me navigate important decisions and stories. She was often able to help me understand why I had ended up in a location or decipher mysterious events. Sometimes she'd help determine where or when I should go somewhere. Olivia claimed to connect with "light beings" and said she gets visual and auditory downloads with her inner eye. She said she sees and hears messages internally.
I brought her up to speed on Kristal's story and some of the strange things that had happened. Olivia paused and tuned in for a minute. I closed my eyes and sat silently to connect, thinking it'd be better for both of us to tap in.
“I'm getting that there’s a dark portal over Crestone,” Olivia said.
“A dark portal?” I asked.
“Yes, and the portal needs to be closed.” She paused. “And that’s why you’re there.”
“What do you mean?"
“I’m getting that Kristal is trapped in the in-between world,” she said. “The same forces responsible for what happened to her are still siphoning energy from her because she hasn’t moved through.”
“I don't follow," I said confused.
“This is all about that," Olivia said. "What’s going on is about releasing and freeing her trapped spirit so that these energies can no longer feed off of it and work through this line.”
“What about this cult that I found?" I was curious because Brendan Pulver was in Love Has Won and he was close with those who were allegedly responsible for Kristal’s disappearance.
“I’m getting that the cult is a force field that is generating and propagating these energies,” she said. “They’re basically holding the portal open. There’s a lot of energies and entities coming through. It’s opened a gate for them and it’s a breeding ground for the spirits or demons to work through the people in the area.”
“And I’m here to close this gate?” I asked.
“Yes, and this is a larger part of a spiritual war,” Olivia said. “This portal is basically like a node where the earth’s body has been punctured and is opened so that these dark forces can have influence. It’s a pretty big node of influence.”
“Wild,” I replied.
“I’m glad you’re leaving soon,” Olivia told me.
“Why?” I asked. I was planning on staying in town just a week, compared to my usual one-month immersions for a cult investigation.
“One of the messages that came through when I was tuning in was that you have to be very clean about being in and being out. It’s all about timing.”
“I can do that,” I replied.
“You have to have a getaway plan," she said. "Be very pristine about what and who you are talking to and engaging with and revealing yourself to. The energies are very strong of what’s being opened in this portal and they’ll sniff you out.” She told me that I couldn’t infiltrate deep into the cult or Kristal’s story like I had done with Bentinho Massaro in Sedona. I needed to "peek in over the fence," look around and get out.
“I get it,” I said. Ever since arriving in Crestone, I felt strong ominous energy and had been on guard.
“Zoe is a bit dangerous too,” she said. “You can’t fully trust her because she’s still connected in with the dark forces.”
“Something was off,” I said. "I told you about how I mysteriously met Zoe but at the end of our meeting, I gave her a five-minute reiki session as we sat on the steps. Right as I stood up I was hit with a strange, eerie sensation that something sinister had become aware of me. It freaked me out. And the next morning Sara told me she was thrown out of her shower at 8:45 p.m. the night before which is exactly when I made contact with this ominous force.”
Olivia paused as if she was getting more information. “There’s a lot of spirit possession happening in Crestone,” she said. She said it's what happened to Zoe and that looking at photos of Kristal she could see the possession in her eyes.
“Maybe that’s what I saw in Zoe’s eyes right after I was hit with the sinister force,” I said. “Meth seems to be a gateway to evil.”
After my session with Olivia, I met up with Natalie, the intuitive who had told me about Kristal wanting to communicate with Zoe from beyond the grave. She was in her early 40s, a bit scattered, and had long blonde hair. I had recorded my session with Olivia so I played a part of it back for her as we sat on wooden barstools in Natalie's kitchen.
“There’s a mountain or collection of mountains that feels really powerful,” Olivia said on the recording.
“That’s Mount Blanca,” Natalie said.
“Where’s that?” I asked.
“South of here about an hour,” she said.
“The mountain can be like an ally,” Olivia said as the audio continued. “So you might want to take an offering if you know where that mountain is, or just do some prayer and do some communication with that mountain. Specifically around protection for yourself but also around the helping of the passing of Kristal’s spirit from that interdimensional place she’s being held.”
Natalie chimed in as the recording played, “The entire collection of Akashic Records, all the wisdom from throughout time, are said to be stored in the center of the mountain."
The recording continued and Olivia said, “And then the other thing I was getting is there’s something about,” she paused, “I know this is going to sound strange…ETs.”
“ETs?” I said on the recording. The surprise in my voice was evident.
“Have you seen Close Encounters of the Fifth Kind?” she asked.
"No," I replied.
“I would recommend it. There’s something about this that feels really connected to where you are and what’s happening with the dark portal that’s there.”
As the recording continued to play, Olivia explained the Close Encounters of the Fifth Kind movie. She said it was about a former doctor, Steven Greer, who now dedicates his life to communicating with ETs. He says they are our future ancestors and are evolved way beyond where we are. His work challenges the common narrative that ETs are dangerous or that we are on the brink of invasion.
“He’s kind of like the earth ambassador to extraterrestrial life,” she said as the recording played. “He would hold retreats and people would do this practice to call upon and direct ships to certain places so they could have communion and the ships would show up and they’d have this interdimensional experience.”
I stopped the recording and told Natalie that I'd like to do a tarot reading with her. “How does it work?” I asked.
“Just ask any question that you want and I’ll draw cards and tune in for insights.”
"I can ask about anything?"
"Yes,” she replied.
At first, I thought the session would be for me but when she said that I changed course.
"I can ask about Kristal?"
"Definitely,” she said.
“Where is Kristal’s body?” I asked.
She closed her eyes and tuned in. Twenty seconds later she started transmitting what was coming through.
What she said shocked me. I knew I’d have to keep it a secret as it could compromise me later investigating it. She didn’t give a specific location but told me what type of place Kristal was buried. As she went deeper my body became flooded with chills and I slipped into a trance-like state as energy rushed through me. Independently of Olivia, she also said Kristal was trapped in the in-between world.
---
Jeremy Brown had followed the Love Has Won cult online for a few years before he flew to Crestone where he lived in the mission house for six weeks. Like many others, he got sucked into the rabbit hole by watching their videos. Soon enough he believed Amy Carlson was Mother God. I spoke with him at length about his experience in the cult.
Jeremy told me that during a spiritual healing session over the phone he got zapped and lost control of his body. His voice even turned into a robot for a minute. “They’re able to transmit this dark energy and entity attachments during these sessions,” he said.
After this session the cult had him do an "ego death ceremony" which turned out to be much different than he expected. “It’s essentially signing over your ego to them.” It was much different than he originally thought. “Because she puts upfront that Father God’s lower self is Lucifer when you sign the ego death contract it’s like you consented to giving your ego up to Lucifer.”
Once Jeremy moved from New Orleans to live with the cult in their Crestone-based mission house he realized something wasn't right. “The moment I locked eyes with Mother God the first time I knew something was really wrong,” he said. “All I felt was pure fear.” He continued. “Every time I’d lock eyes with her I could literally just feel her taking energy from me. She’s just a pure energy vampire.”
He also echoed something Olivia had told me about the dark portal in Crestone. “There’s a tear in the firmament which makes an easier area for these dark energies and beings to come through," he said.
I also spoke to a woman whose husband Alex had joined the cult. She told me that she immediately saw darkness in his eyes after his phone healing sessions. Within weeks he had become brainwashed she said and he abandoned her and his kids and flew to Crestone to be with "God." Alex was seen on their video livestream praising the group the day after he arrived. “I’ve dropped everything in order to be here to honor Mother, the physical mother Jesus on earth,” he stated. The next day he was found naked and delusional stumbling through the desert by the police.
Alex told his wife that he spent the morning he disappeared “removing the darkness” from cult leader Jason Castillo aka Father God. Father God had told Alex that he could no longer handle the darkness on his own and that he needed to take it on for him. He then told Alex, “you have three days.” Disoriented and possibly drugged, Alex then went into the desert hallucinating and nearly died.
In Love Has Won’s origin story, an Archangel named Jehovah separated from all of creation thousands of years ago. “He wanted to be God without God,” they state. After separating from unity consciousness, he began taking over planets and created “dark species and the darker realms.” It was all love and light before this fallen angel Jehovah created separation. Father God, Jason Castillo, was contracted to go down into the dark into all of the “lower planets” and “lower realms” to master them. “And his lower aspect is Lucifer,” a member named Lauren said in a video I watched. “Lucifer is Father God,” she said. Meanwhile, Mother God aka Amy stayed in the light realm. And now for the first time in 19 billion years, the two have reunited on planet earth.
After my eerie encounter with the sinister energy during Zoe’s reiki session, everything changed. That evening I felt a very thick, ominous presence in my apartment. There’s something in here, I said to myself. I felt like at any moment I could be attacked. I invoked my angels, prayed, meditated, and did Qi Gong but nothing worked. The dark forces were strong. My mind started racing. Something sinister was in my presence.
I remembered Olivia telling me that morning I needed an escape plan. I started frantically packing up my stuff, throwing my belongings haphazardly in my suitcase. I grabbed my bags, dashed out the door, and hustled to my car quickly, tossing my stuff in the back seat. I knew the closest hotels were an hour north or south. I didn’t know where I was going, I just knew I had to get out quickly.
I texted Sara and fortunately, she told me I could come to stay at her trailer ten minutes outside of town in the valley. Her place was surrounded by wide-open desert and the closest neighbors were miles away. “I’m so glad to see you,” I said upon arriving and giving her a big hug. “The dark forces were really strong in my apartment. It was like once they discovered me they honed in.”
“Come in, come in,” she said as she grabbed my bags. Sara and I sat in her cramped but warm and cozy kitchen eating rice and beans as we discussed the strange events that had occurred up to then. By that point, the feeling of the dark forces had completely dissipated. It was as if they only reigned over a certain area near the center of town. Sara kindly offered me her bed as she created a makeshift one for herself on the kitchen floor of the trailer. Still wired with energy and anxious, I had another lackluster night of sleep. From that point on, I wouldn't spend another night at my Airbnb in Crestone.
...
The next day I left Salida and headed back to Crestone to look for Kristal's body in a large area of land off the creek in the valley.
The Google map view of the area looked identical to something Natalie had drawn in the psychic download. I trekked through tall grass and terrible mosquitos staying alert for any signs in my spirit body. I searched for an hour, sloshing through the creek at points, and even dug in one spot through the muddy ground with the collapsible trail shovel I had just bought. I didn't get any signs on this land, only a few moments of fear and paranoia. If someone spotted me, I'd be a sitting duck out there.
Frustrated, I hiked the twenty minutes back to my car which was parked on a dirt road. On the way back to town I checked out a road named Thunderbird that was nearby. Since Natalie had drawn an image of a Thunderbird I thought it could be worth checking out. I didn't get any hits though. And since Nate Maxwell’s name kept coming up I decided to cruise by his house. I slowly crept down his street and noticed a mid-sized moving truck in the driveway.
At the last second, I pulled off into Crestone park discouraged and exhausted. By that point, I had been in town for a week. I thought hard about how I had just blown a lot of money chasing down empty leads. I was spooked out of my Airbnb and forced to simultaneously pay for cabins and hotels. This was precious unemployment money that I desperately needed. None of this work investigating Kristal's case or Love Has Won was funded. I was distraught over it all. I asked Kristal if this was it. The psychic had told me Kristal had been communicating with me while there. I told Kristal I was leaving. What the hell am I even doing here? I asked myself as I sat in my car. I had come to Crestone to focus on my spiritual practice but was being dragged around. I was thinking about leaving right then.
I stepped out of my car to stretch and as I looked out in the park I noticed an old lady walking in the distance towards me with her dog. I immediately had a feeling about her. When she got near, her dog came up to me, probably because of the pork bar I was eating. I'm glad he did because that was the doorway to a conversation.
Mabel was a short, grey-haired 80-year-old woman who once ran a newspaper in Crestone for a few years. When I told her I was investigating Kristal's case she said she knew many of the suspects and their families. She was connected to everyone in town it seemed. I told her I was contemplating leaving town but that there was one area I hadn't been able to search for Kristal's body. I had driven up to the road a few days before but realized I needed four-wheel drive.
"That's my SUV right there," she said as she pointed to a white Toyota RAV4 in the parking lot. “It has four-wheel drive. Let's go."
"Really?" It was like heaven had sent an angel. She mysteriously appeared in the distance and lifted me off to the next place.
Mabel followed me up to the start of the road. I hopped out to get in her car but was surprised to see her standing there with her arms folded criss-cross, hands-on shoulders. "I can find stuff too," she said in a quiet raspy voice. "I have a method." She closed her eyes and got still for a few moments. “Is Kristal with us?” she asked out loud. Her body flung forward with a great force. Chills ran through me as I watched stunned. “That’s a yes,” she said. “When you are pushed forward it’s a yes, backward is a no.” She held out her hands. “And look, my hands, my hands are red, that’s another sign,” she said.
“My ability is to experience chills when I get a hit,” I said. “It’s like my spirit-body tells me what is true or not.” I told her I had just gotten chills when I saw her fly forward.
“OK,” she said. “Let’s go.”
I hopped in her SUV and we began slowly crawling up the road which was filled with large stones, holes, and small boulders. Forest lined the road on both sides. After a few minutes, we passed a sign and fenced-in area that read “Private Property.” She said Hanne and Maurice Strong, the wealthy couple who donated all the land to spiritual centers, owned the land. I got worried. I told Mabel I had found this spot because the psychic had told me she had seen a vision of a sandy beach near a river. I searched google maps and this area looked like a potential match but it was vague.
"I sent two photos of potential locations to my friend Sara here in town the other day. She got nauseous and told me it was a sign that one of them was correct. A psychic I'm working with had also told me that if I feel nauseous when searching then it's a clear sign."
"That's really interesting," she said.
"I checked out one of the potential spots this morning and found nothing. We are headed to the other one now."
"Ok," she replied.
Another few minutes up the road we came to a spot where Mabel didn't feel comfortable going further because of a large divot in the road.
"Pull off there," I said as I pointed to a flat area off the left side. I hopped out of her car and felt pulled across the road. I could have gone any direction but I made a b-line directly into the woods at the spot we were parked. I climbed over logs and branches, and around boulders. After just thirty seconds of hiking my body was struck with vibrations.
"I just got chills," I shouted back to Mabel. "Right here."
"I'm coming." She was still in the car with her dog. I kept walking deeper into the woods, thinking this was a clue to go further.
I yelled to her as my body was struck with deep vibrations. "I'm getting chills right here, deep chills right here." My entire body was vibrating with energy and it wouldn't stop. When Mabel arrived at the spot she was immediately hit as well.
"Wowoowow," she said as her voice quivered. "I have chills, I have chills."
"It's so intense," I said.
“Look at my hands. They’re red."
I looked down at her palms and they were beet red. "Red, red, red,” I said. "Were here. We've got to be close."
"Oh my god, this is almost like when I discovered that," Mabel said and then paused. A moment later she mumbled, "when twelve feet down.” She could barely speak.
"I think this might be it," I said. We both stood in awe of the chills pulsing through us. "I think Kristal is here."
Curious, I walked through the woods for another few minutes just to see what would happen. Mabel did the same but went in a different direction. As soon as I left that spot the chills stopped. "I'm not getting anything," I shouted to Mabel. She wasn't either. I trekked around for another five minutes and made my way back to the original spot. When I stepped foot in that exact area again my body lit up with vibrations.
"Woooow," she said upon returning. "It's so intense."
"It really is. Something is here. I can feel it."
I pulled out my small collapsible shovel and started digging. It was surprisingly easy to remove the sand. Whether it was because that area had been dug before or it was just soft I had no idea but I kept digging. It was slow going because of my tiny shovel and the approximately six by ten-foot area. At about one foot down I noticed something strange. It looked like pieces of fresh mulch. "Why would there be mulch a foot down in the ground?"
"To cover the scent," Mabel said.
"Yep."
I kept slowly digging. A few minutes later I heard footsteps. "What was that?" I said.
"I don't know."
I looked up and saw a shirtless man with scraggly hair and a big belly walking toward us.
"Who the fuck is that?"
"I don't know," she said.
From my angle, it looked like he was walking through the woods. A thousand thoughts were racing in my mind. Perhaps they had this spot under surveillance. The sign had said private property. Maybe Kristal was buried here and this guy was watching over it. I thought he'd come to kill us. As he approached I yelled out "Whatcha doing up here?” I got a mumbled response back. Fortunately, he walked past us down the road. I was spooked though. "Phew," I said. "That was scary."
I kept digging but after ten minutes, Mabel said she had to leave soon because her dog was thirsty and hot. Damn, I said to myself. I had finally found a spot where I thought Kristal's body was buried and we had to leave. "Ok," I said as I jammed my collapsible shovel one last time into the sand. "I'll have to come back."
"Oh look," she said as we walked to the car. "They've even got the spot marked." There were several pieces of firewood on the side of the road marking the spot. One of them was pointing diagonally towards where I was digging.
"I was gonna mark the spot but now we don't need to,” I replied. We piled in the car with her dog and started driving down the mountain.
----
Back at Judy's that evening, I collapsed in the recliner exhausted and drained. I texted Olivia and updated her with all the wild stuff that had unfolded. I also asked her about a strange dream I had the night before.
“I had a vivid dream last night that I was on a huge ET mothership, hovering over Crestone," I texted her. "It was really uncanny.”
"Let me tune in." She waited a minute and texted again. ”The first thing that comes in is that it wasn’t a dream,” Olivia texted. “You’ve called in help.”
Tingling sensations moved through my body. “Chills,” I texted back.
She was right, I had called in ETs while at Mount Blanca during my ritual.
“Something about an ancient pact,” Olivia texted.
I sent her the eerie audio recording of when Mabel and I found the spot in the woods that gave us chills.
“My hair is standing on end all over my body," she wrote upon listening. "Paranormal tears. I’m getting that it is an intersection point.”
“Maybe I needed to dig deeper?"
“I don't know if it's her. It’s a ley line point, like a hot wire,” Olivia wrote. “You could put a rod in right there and signal the ETs.”
“A hot wire?”
“Regardless of whether you find her or not, you are helping to regrid. Already something has shifted with that. This is about the earth’s nervous system.”
“As soon as we got to the spot in the woods I was hit with the full-body sensations," I texted. "And then Mabel walked over and was struck too. She couldn’t even speak and her hands turned deep red.”
“The chills keep coming, like electricity waves," Olivia wrote. "All my hair is up.”
"Me too," I texted. My body was vibrating intensely.
"I'm getting that there are two different ET tribes/nations that are reconnecting through this work. After a long period of separation, it's bringing them together."
"After the trance-induced healing ritual I did at Mount Blanca on Thursday I felt a distinct change in the energy in Crestone. The darkness has dissipated somewhat.”
“There is a lot of energy circling around my crown,” she texted. “I’ve been contacting the ETs.”
"Seriously?" I replied.
“This is about grid activation, to shift the center of gravity. It’s like pulling the rug out from under the dark energies,” she texted. I sent her a picture of the map of where the ley line point was that gave Mabel and I chills. “I’m seeing a ship beaming into those points to cause this shift,” she wrote.
"Are you getting that this is where Kristal is?" I asked.
“It does feel like something is buried nearby under the thick,” she texted. “Something is hidden. For some reason, I don’t know why but I’m not really connecting it to Kristal herself. I feel grief. Chills. Something is being released. There has been a stronghold here hiding in plain sight."
I texted her about some of the powerful people connected to Crestone.
"I think this is way bigger than it seems. It's like pulling a thread. There is a whole ancient thing connected."
"I don't know what to do at this point," I said.
"Take a rest. You will be guided but you need to sleep and get into a passive mental state. Soak your feet and put oil on your body. It will soothe your nerves."
"I can do that,” I said.
"You can't go any further until you recharge. You are being closely guided. You just have to lay down for long enough to get into a receptive state. The outcome may not be what you expect. You have to let go to get the next phase."
I followed Olivia's advice and took a hot shower, rubbed oil on my feet, and put my body into a deep state of receptivity.
The next morning Mary, the psychic, texted me that she had a dream about me the night before. "You are standing with a lady in the mountains and your "lights" shoot up into the sky, like saying 'we are located here.' It felt like you were connecting to something to put pure loving healing energy into that area. That's why you are in Crestone."
submitted by BeScofieldWriter to LoveHasWonCult [link] [comments]


2022.10.13 15:40 billiethechi Detroit Tax Assessment Gauge, from Regrid

Did anyone catch this Detroit Tax Assessment Gauge from Regrid that came out yesterday? The gauge was created to help Detroit homeowners understand if they may be overpaying their property tax. The company is Detroit-based. They used land parcel data to evaluate privately owned single-family homes in Detroit for indication of over-assessment.
If you live in the area, check out the interactive map and see if you're at risk of being overassessed.
An interesting research project.
submitted by billiethechi to Detroit [link] [comments]


2022.09.15 19:08 KingDonRush Tenho 22 anos, trabalho, estudo e faço academia, mas estou surtando.

Olá, tenho 22 anos e estou em um impasse complicado em minha vida. Pra contextualizar, eu, basicamente tenho muitos problemas com disciplina, pois quando eu era mais jovem(11-19 anos) eu ficava o dia inteiro no computador, jogando, vendo videos, etc. Em 2020, eu ingressei na faculdade, e graças a pandemia, eu pude ter webaulas kkkkkk. Ao longo da pandemia, muita coisa mudou na minha personalidade. Eu consegui aderir a rotinas de estudos (pois a webaula não salvava nada), aderir a prática de ir à academia (e deu certo, emagreci 20 kgs e arranjei uma namorada). Entretanto, quando as aulas presenciais retornaram, e (quase ao mesmo tempo) minha mãe se aposentou, muitas coisas pioraram. O que antes eram 3 horas dedicadas a faculdade, com suas aulas diárias, virou 6 horas de gasto diario com essa atividade (17 da tarde eu começo a me preparar, as 17:55 eu saio de casa pra pegar o ônibus, e as 19 eu chego na faculdade, pras 22 pegar o ônibus de volta e chegar 23:10), e graças a aposentadoria da minha mãe, muitas regalias foram cortadas (não somente pra mim, mas pra nós na família como um todo). O que me fez ter a brilhante idéia de tentar meter um trampo na minha rotina, mesmo eu não estando confortável pra ter uma rotina tão apertada, pois as outras horas q restavam do meu dia dps da facul, eu gastava com o serviço e academia. Então, eu surtei, fiquei sobrecarregado, estressado, tinha semanas q eu nem ligava o computador, pois era chegar em casa e já me preparar pra próxima tarefa.
O meu ponto no meio disso tudo, é que a minha vida está se resolvendo aos poucos, com eu enfrentando e freando certos comportamentos e vícios (vício em jogos, pornografia, nicotina do vape, etc.) meus pais sempre deram este aporte financeiro pra mim sustentar os meus vícios. Entretanto, como a minha mãe se aposentou no meio de 2021 e nossa renda caiu, eu decidi ir trabalhar e pagar as minhas coisas. Entretanto, não é como se nós realmente precisassemos de mais alguém trabalhando, pois tipo, dá pra viver com essa renda deles, economizando mais, largando alguns vícios e certos comportamentos. O meu ponto, é q esse trabalho, está me sobrecarregando, eu não consigo mais fazer as coisas com a excelência que me satisfaz. Não consigo mais jogar na semana sem me sentir culpado(pois meus pais foram bem contra essa minha idéia de sair do trabalho), não consigo mais ter meus momentos de lazer sem sentir que estou jogando tempo fora, não consigo mais me conectar cmg mesmo.
O serviço é algo que eu não preciso pra sustentar práticas (comprar coisas, tanto pra sustentar vício quanto pra comprar coisas mesmo) que eu não preciso também, então, pra que me sujeitar a algo que não é saudável pra minha mente? pra que me sujeitar a algo que ela ainda não está pronta para suportar? Eu hoje, saí de uma rotina de 0 minutos por dia de estudo e zero preocupação com saúde, alimentação e bem estar(isso la em 2019), pra hoje em 2022, conseguir 3 horas e as vzs 4(3 horas de estudos na faculdade [sim, antes eu nem prestava atenção nas aulas] + 1 horinhas q eu uso de vez em quando, qndo eu sinto q preciso reforçar algum conhecimento) e fazer academia e me alimentar da maneira correta(coisa que não deu pra seguir quando eu comecei a trabalhar, pois tenho compulsão alimentar, e essa jornada estressante piorou a minha compulsão, coisa q eu já estava quase sendo resolvida). Então, pra que me sujeitar a algo que não é necessário neste momento? que regride os meus avanços pessoais? que não me deixa aproveitar a minha vida?
Entendo, que parte desta culpa, é minha, por não saber como ter uma rotina bem organizada. Mas o meu argumento, é que pedir para uma pessoa que saiu de uma rotina que não existia, que passava madrugadas em claro jogando, que não se exercitava, não se alimentava da maneira correta e não se dedicava a nada, pra essa minha rotina atual, já é um grande passo, mas eu nunca atropelei nada, nunca desrespeitei o meu tempo, sempre fiz tudo oq dava na medida do possível. Então, desta forma, o que vcs me aconselham? devo me demitir? devo sair desse emprego que atropela a minha capacidade?
Obgda pela atenção pessoal
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2022.09.13 05:48 caparks2 Is logistic glm an appropriate method for this proposed analysis?

I've collected data during the course of a study of 2 different types of subjects. The test subjects have a specific disease while the control subjects have a fundamentally similar disease that is governed by a distinct biological mechanism to that of the test subjects. For each subject, and at multiple time points (in days), I isolated cells from biopsies and determined the number of a certain kind of biological cell present out of a total number of cells collected. I plan to use logistic glm to analyze this data. I would appreciate any opinions and advice the community might offer on the proposed analysis.
Structure of the data:
# A tibble: 72 × 6 subject_id subject_type time_point cell_type cell_type_frequency total_cells       1 test01 test 224 Cell A 0.161 1647 2 test01 test 224 Cell B 0 1647 3 test01 test 224 Cell C 0 1647 ... ... ... ... ... ... 70 control08 control 260 Cell A 0.118 2537 71 control08 control 260 Cell B 0.00473 2537 72 control08 control 260 Cell C 0.0146 2537 
Plot of the data:
points represent individual `subject_id:time_point` observations.
I plan to apply logistic glm to the analysis of this study. I will specify the functional form of the model like this:
cell_type_frequency ~ subject_type + cell_type + (1 subject_id) + (1 subject_id:time_point) 
where the response cell_type_frequency is predicted by the fixed effects subject_type and cell_type with random effects for time_point nested within each subject_id.
I would then implement it like this:
lme4::glmer( formula = formula, weights = total_cells, family = binomial(link = "logit"), data = data ) 
where I pass the total_cells column to the weights parameter and use the Binomial probability distribution with a logit link function.
After doing that I check the summary:
Generalized linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood (Laplace Approximation) ['glmerMod'] Family: binomial ( logit ) Formula: cell_type_frequency ~ subject_type + cell_type + (1 subject_id) + (1 subject_id:time_point) Data: data Weights: total_cells AIC BIC logLik deviance df.resid 7308.8 7322.5 -3648.4 7296.8 66 Scaled residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -23.961 -2.802 -0.229 1.677 49.434 Random effects: Groups Name Variance Std.Dev. subject_id:time_point (Intercept) 1.25043 1.1182 subject_id (Intercept) 0.02807 0.1675 Number of obs: 72, groups: subject_id:time_point, 24; subject_id, 16 Fixed effects: Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>z) (Intercept) -1.86124 0.31006 -6.003 1.94e-09 *** subject_typecontrol -0.33264 0.48214 -0.690 0.49 cell_typeCell B -2.72072 0.02240 -121.437 < 2e-16 *** cell_typeCell C -2.57945 0.02105 -122.531 < 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Correlation of Fixed Effects: (Intr) sbjct_ cll_CB sbjct_typcn -0.609 cll_typCllB -0.006 0.000 cll_typCllC -0.007 0.000 0.092 
and I see that the estimates for cell_type have large negative effects that are statistically significant, and that the estimate for the subject_type effect is more modest and not statistically significant. To me this could mean the nature of the cell types I enumerated from the subjects have more to do with their frequencies in each subject than the nature of the type of subjects.
Next I check the residuals to see if the model is not bad:
https://preview.redd.it/hldww8wjojn91.png?width=698&format=png&auto=webp&s=afbcf87ada00b1632140395b6b5b68507a1ad81d
heteroscedasticity! Though I'm not sure if this is a problem or not. I think it might be present because the cell_type_frequency has such a large range across the levels of cell_type. One question I have is whether it would make sense to do 3 separate logistic glms for each cell_type given this result.
Next, I want to probe the effect of subject_type further with pairwise comparisons within each cell_type level:
pairs( emmeans( object = glmer, specs = ~ subject_type cell_type, regrid = "response" ) ) 
resulting in:
cell_type = Cell A: contrast estimate SE df z.ratio p.value test - control 0.03426 0.04889 Inf 0.701 0.4835 cell_type = Cell B: contrast estimate SE df z.ratio p.value test - control 0.00285 0.00407 Inf 0.699 0.4848 cell_type = Cell C: contrast estimate SE df z.ratio p.value test - control 0.00327 0.00468 Inf 0.699 0.4848 
which seems to make sense given the overall estimate and P value of the subject_type fixed effect from the model summary.
So is logisitc glm an appropriate method of analysis for this data? If not, what would be a valid alternative? If yes, is my implementation of the glm method and the following pairwise testing OK? Or am I so far off base here that the only responsible thing to do is to delete R and turn in my statistics privileges? Thank you AskStatistics community.
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2022.08.17 19:24 Samurai15x Want to buy and/or demo house next door to parents. Should I also start an HOA? TLDR at end

For context, I moved back in with my parents in Detroit after college. They live outside of revitalized downtown…already a red flag. The street we live on has a few homes that have been rented out since before I was born, some to decent families, some to scum. You can easily tell owners and renters apart. The street has seen many ups and downs, including the typical gunshots/domestic fights/loud bass/drugs you’d associate with Detroit. But it has improved recently (new lights, speed bumps, street sweepers, cleared alleys), and even kids are playing outside all day again. The good renters and homeowners also still well outnumber the bad ones. But the consistent issue affecting my parents is the SLUM next door to them. I want it gone before I move out to get my own place, so my parents can be at peace, and my dad can expand his garden + park his boat.
This brick house is nearly 80 yrs old, with permanent damage done from years of neglect and weather. The garage doors are torn off and its roof is caving on itself from snow pileup. The house roof had a hole punched in it by a tree, and the ENTIRE basement flooded because the water wasn’t shut off. Despite complaints from my dad, out-of-state investors buy and “fix” it up for cheap and immediately rent it out, doing the bare minimum tenant screening through 3rd parties. My dad saw legal docs in 2008, and owner names were literally handwritten in a list and scratched out with pen. Is that legal? If so, the city doesn’t care; they don’t keep track of records. Any other public info is out of date/wrong. Regrid says the house was sold in 2009, Redfin says 2020, Zillow 2021. The selling price also ranges from ~$40-80K. My dad tried buying the house when it was listed for $5K, but was suspiciously passed up. I’ve used city resources reporting blight, and so has my dad, yet nothing has happened.
The current renters are the perfect embodiment of negative black stereotypes. There is a single grandmother who works the most (I assume). Her ratchet daughter is also a young single mother, not sure if she works. And her son for sure doesn’t work. Why? He’s too busy hitting licks with his boys from the last projects they came from. He’d gladly take that over a 9-5. They parked a stolen Charger in the back a year ago, and the owner was there in an hour ready to kill. Luckily for him, the cops barely got there first. The whole street watched as he was arrested but he was back the same week with an ankle monitor on. He’s popped shots from a full auto pistol on the backyard porch (at night of course) and tried to raise/sell exotic dogs and stolen ATVs/bikes. All of these have fallen through, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they don’t even pay rent regardless. My dad, a Vietnam vet, told him he won’t snitch as long as they don’t fuck with us…cause they’ll be snitching if they do (badass). Thankfully, they’ve understood that much. But people have snitched on them before with the dogs, and Animal Control actually came! They know they have no friends on this street, but they don’t care. They’re just happy taking advantage of welfare. Fortunately, they’re for sure not renting to own and will leave when either a better opportunity arises or they’re forced out. Hopefully the son and his goons don’t retaliate if the latter happens.
When that day comes, I have a plan to make the house uninhabitable…involving an accidental fire. Since the city screwed with my dad when he tried to buy the house earlier, I’m reluctant to go through them. Should I keep harassing the city using the same channels to report these issues to force them out quicker? Should I have a lawyer present when I ask for home records? Should I go through the city to not risk being linked to arson? How do I get this house torn down? And should I try starting a Home Owners Association for my district, in the hopes these LLC’s back off their pursuit of cheap homes to rent out? I read a Wash Post article where that was successful in a black NC neighborhood. Moving out is plan Z.
TLDR: the permanently damaged house next to my parents has been rented out to bad tenants for years. Public records on the house are outdated and shady, but the city doesn’t care. Ownership hasn’t paid taxes and has changed hands many times. I want to destroy it, legally or illegally. How should I? Will this care of itself? Would starting an HOA stop these LLCs?
submitted by Samurai15x to Advice [link] [comments]


2022.08.01 23:45 Mai-Manisan Não consigo acreditar que irei fazer 27 anos próximo mês.

Eu tenho transtorno dissociativo, junta isso a outras comorbidades e fico totalmente confusa, como se eu saisse da matrix, as vezes vejo as pessoas e penso que elas são de plastico ou que falta um cristalzinho na cabeça do the sims. O fato de eu aparentar mais jovem para muita gente me confunde, porque pessoas da minha idade aparentam ter o corpo bem mais desenvolvido. Eu sou anemica, isso pode afetar de alguma forma o desenvolvimento? As vezes acho que deviam me usar de teste de laboratorio para descobrir o motivo disso, será que meu relogio está andando mais de vagar? Será que o mundo está mais de vagar? Estou divagando porque também sou autista com laudo, não se ofendam - muita gente se ofende facil hoje em dia e eu fico sem entender. Mas exemplo, vejo as amigas adolescentes da minha cunhada, e eu aparento mais novas que elas, isso buga muito meu cerebro, porque não me vejo e nunca me vi como adolescente, na realidade eu tenho dois alter egos: Um é bem responsavel e tem 26 anos igual eu, e tenho um que regride para 5 anos; não sou uma estranha que gosta da ideia de chupetas, fraldas ou algo parecido, é só que com 5 anos eu aparentava mais feliz. Gosto de imitar personagens fofos. Isso me buga muito muito muito, porque hoje vi a foto de alguém com a idade da minha irmã mais nova e parecia mais velho que eu, quero virar teste de laboratorio para fins cientificos '--' já que não realizei meu sonho de estudar regeneração celular. Estou quase chegando aos 30, vai faltar 3 anos, e não sinto que mudei muito, se pegarem uma foto de 7 anos atrás tou a mesma coisa, minha mente talvez só amadureceu um pouco, mas essencialmente estou a mesma pessoa boba e louca de sempre. Um pica pau biruta. Tenham uma boa noite, vou comer pão.
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2022.07.04 01:58 fuzwz Where to find vector data of U.S. land parcels

Hello, I'm looking for a way to extract vector data of U.S. land parcels. I know certain company providers like Regrid that offer this data; see e.g. the polygon at this url:
https://app.regrid.com/us/hi/hawaii/papaikou-wailea#b=none&p=/us/hi/hawaii/papaikou-wailea/94616&t=property
Some states have the same data:
https://qpublic.schneidercorp.com/Application.aspx?AppID=1048&LayerID=23618&PageTypeID=1&PageID=9875&Q=109532823&KeyValue=270080170000
Is there an open source / public way to obtain the dataset of U.S. land parcels in vector form? Any guidance would be greatly appreciated!
submitted by fuzwz to datasets [link] [comments]


2022.07.02 05:26 Laconico_ Na sua opinião, as chances de termos um colapso civilizacional global (em que a sociedade regride a um nível de complexidade mais baixo) nos próximos 100 anos é:

View Poll
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